876
ABPZ20 KNHC 141136
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Aug 14 2018
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A low pressure system is located just over a 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and
thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized, and
environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical
depression to form during the next couple of days while the
disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Shower and thunderstorm activity, associated with a weak low
pressure area located a little over a 1200 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has diminished
considerably during the past several hours. The system is now
moving northwestward over decreasing sea surface temperatures and
into an environment less conducive for any further development
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
875
ABNT20 KNHC 141136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 14 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A non-tropical complex area of low pressure located several hundred
miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing cloudiness and
thunderstorms mainly to the east of the center. Although latest
satellite images indicate that the low has not improved in
organization, conditions could become a little more conducive for
subtropical rather than tropical development by Wednesday. The
system is forecast to move northeastward over the colder waters
of the North Atlantic by late Thursday or Friday, which should limit
any additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Avila
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The Citizen Weather Observer Program (CWOP) is a private-public partnership with three main goals: 1) to collect weather data contributed by citizens; 2) to make these data available for weather services and homeland security; and 3) to provide feedback to the data contributors so that they have the tools to check and improve their data quality. In fact, the web address, wxqa.com, stands for weather quality assurance.
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