Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 212307
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Claudette, located over the western Atlantic about 275 miles 
east-northeast of the North Carolina Outer Banks.

A tropical wave located about 700 miles east-southeast of the 
Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a few 
thunderstorms.  Some additional development of this disturbance will 
be possible during the next couple of days before upper-level winds 
become less conducive for further organization by Thursday.  The 
system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 
20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Latto

Summary for Remnants of Claudette (AT3/AL032021)

...CLAUDETTE HAS BECOME A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 As of 11:00 PM AST Mon Jun 21
 the center of Claudette was located near 39.0, -69.0
 with movement ENE at 29 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Remnants of Claudette Public Advisory Number 18

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021  

000
WTNT33 KNHC 220256
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Claudette Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032021
1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021
 
...CLAUDETTE HAS BECOME A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.0N 69.0W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Claudette were located
near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 69.0 West.  The remnants are
moving toward the east-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can 
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

Remnants of Claudette Forecast Advisory Number 18

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021  

000
WTNT23 KNHC 220256
TCMAT3
 
REMNANTS OF CLAUDETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032021
0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  69.0W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 240SE 210SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  69.0W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  70.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  69.0W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON CLAUDETTE.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Remnants of Claudette Forecast Discussion Number 18

Issued at 1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021  

000
WTNT43 KNHC 220257
TCDAT3
 
Remnants Of Claudette Discussion Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032021
1100 PM AST Mon Jun 21 2021

Recent scatterometer data show that the system has opened up into a 
northwest to southeast-oriented trough.  Therefore Claudette has 
dissipated as a tropical cyclone and this is the last advisory.  The 
remnants of Claudette should continue to move rapidly 
east-northeastward and weaken over the next day or so.

Additional information on the remnants of Claudette can be found in 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under 
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/0300Z 39.0N  69.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch

Remnants of Claudette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021                                              

000
FONT13 KNHC 220256
PWSAT3
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF CLAUDETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032021               
0300 UTC TUE JUN 22 2021                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE REMNANTS OF CLAUDETTE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0  
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS
...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                                
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SABLE ISLAND   34  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH

Remnants of Claudette Graphics

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 22 Jun 2021 02:58:14 GMT


Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Jun 2021 03:22:39 GMT